Showing posts with label Devonta Freeman. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Devonta Freeman. Show all posts

Friday, October 9, 2015

Footballguys Roundtable on DraftKings Sunday Lineps

Looking for help in constructing your Sunday DraftKings lineups? The staff of Footballguys.com sat down this week to discuss different topics about who to start on Sunday and why.

Here's a sample of some of the questions that were discussed in our DraftKings Roundtable.

LeVeon Bell appears to have picked up right where he left off last season, registering 26.2 and 31.0 fantasy points in his two games this season. This week, he’ll cost you a whopping $700 more than the second-highest running back.
Is Bell worth it? If you’re paying up for him, where are you sacrificing elsewhere?
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Last week, the game script question was an enlightening one in that it showed just how difficult it can be to predict NFL games. Let’s see if this week’s round of staffers can nail a few games.
So please pick a game on the slate this week and tell us how you think it will play out. Which player(s) will benefit from this script? Which become values?
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Are Tom Brady ($7,800) and Aaron Rodgers ($7,900) actually somewhat contrarian plays this week? With Peyton Manning ($7,000) vs Oakland’s horrific secondary, Eli Manning ($6,800) vs San Francisco’s poor group, and Philip Rivers ($6,200) vs. Pittsburgh’s poor pass defense, do you foresee “the masses” not wanting to pay up at quarterback?
Even matchups like New Orleans-Philadelphia with Drew Brees ($7,200) and Sam Bradford ($6,000) and Chicago-Kansas City with Jay Cutler ($5,300) and Alex Smith ($5,500) provide attractive-for-the-price options.
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Devonta Freeman’s salary has risen from $4,200 (Week 2) to $4,600 (Week 3) to $5,200 (Week 4) and is now sitting at $6,300 for this week.
Last week, Freeman torched a previously good rush defense at home. Is he still a solid cash game play for one more week despite another tough run matchup and the increased salary?
Check out our DraftKings Sunday Roundtable this week. As an added bonus, all Footballguys.com DraftKings content is free this week


Tuesday, October 6, 2015

Millionaire Maker Week 4 Recap and Week 5 Preview

My weekly recap of the top lineups, trends and strategies used in the DraftKings Millionaire Maker tournament can be found here. Some of the major takeaways from Week 4 are:

1. It was one of the lowest-scoring weeks in recent memory and almost all of the top wide receivers vastly underperformed. Most of the week's top receiver scores came from players priced below $5,000 (Vincent Jackson, Allen Hurns, and Tavon Austin for example). Interestingly, even on the top lineups the WR3s (as determined by price) far outscored the WR1s.

Would it be a worthwhile strategy to enter a Millionaire Maker lineup while trying to stick to an artificially lower cap of ~$45,000? It's an interesting concept to ponder. In a week like the one we just experienced, this strategy would have saved you from overpaying for Julio Jones, Odell Beckham, Jr., Randall Cobb and the many other highly priced busts and forced you to assemble a lineup with multiple cheaper wide receiver options (which likely would have been beneficial). A strategy like this also automatically gives you a highly unique lineup since you are making entirely different decisions about how to allocate your cap and likely dealing with a unique pool of players to choose from. In weeks where the top receivers and backs perform as expected, you are likely sunk. But if things play out like they did in Week 4, you could be well positioned to take home first overall. It's a boom-bust strategy, but that's what you are looking for in these top-heavy GPPs.

2. For the second straight week, you almost had to own Devonta Freeman. He again outpaced the field at running back and separated the contenders from the pretenders in the Millionaire Maker. Can you fade him in Week 5 at a $6,300 price point?

3. You had to nail tight end to finish near the top in Week 4. Charles Clay and Martellus Bennett were both "chalk" plays with favorable matchups and extra targets expected due to Sammy Watkins and Alshon Jeffery being out with injury. Both produced solid scores that were especially valuable in a week where only one player topped 200 points.