Friday, December 4, 2015

Projecting Ownership Percentage: Week 13

Ownership percentage -- as it applies to constructing tournament lineups -- is one of the most misunderstood concepts in DFS. Projecting Ownership Percentage will explain the best strategy for factoring ownership percentage into your DFS decision making, and highlight this week's top tournament plays at each ownership tier. 

Here's an example of this week's player insight:

Kyle Rudolph - $3,700 vs. SEA (Under 5% Projected Ownership)
The Seahawks rank 29th in pass DVOA to opposing tight ends and have given up the fourth-most fantasy points to the position this season. Rudolph followed up his season best 6-106-1 receiving line in Week 11 against the Packers with a solid 7-53-0 performance last week. His 19 targets over the last two games are very encouraging and he’s assured some action when Minnesota visits the red zone. Rudolph’s 38.46% red zone target market share is the seventh-highest in the league. He’s got clear top five upside in this matchup and remains affordably priced as the TE14. Rudolph’s 1.4% ownership in Thursday tournaments on Fanduel (where he was the TE19) is a strong sign he’ll be overlooked on DraftKings as well.

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