Projecting Ownership Percentage: Week 14

Ownership percentage -- as it applies to constructing tournament lineups -- is one of the most misunderstood concepts in DFS. Projecting Ownership Percentage will explain the best strategy for factoring ownership percentage into your DFS decision making, and highlight this week's top tournament plays at each ownership tier. 

Here's an example of this week's player analysis:

Anquan Boldin - $4,000 @ CLE (Less than 5% Projected Ownership)

Boldin has consistently been under 5% owned this season, and his 8.7 point clunker against a soft Bears pass defense last week certainly won't help him win any popularity contests. But he's quietly been a consistent producer with Blaine Gabbert under center for the 49ers (14 and 17 fantasy points in Weeks 11 and 12 respectively), and while the counting stats weren’t there last week, Boldin did see a season-high 13 targets. Over the last four weeks, Boldin’s 30.7% target market share ranks fifth-highest in the league, and for the season, his 43.6% red zone target market share is the highest of any wide receiver. Cleveland sports the league’s fourth-worst pass defense (DVOA) and allows the second-most red zone scoring attempts per game. Boldin is capable of returning 4x his salary on receptions and yards alone. If he manages a touchdown catch, he’ll obliterate his GPP target score.