Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Millionaire Maker Week 5 Recap

My weekly recap of the DraftKings Millionaire Maker Tournament is now available for subscribers here.

My major takeaways from digging through the top lineups and crunching the numbers was:

1. All of the value in Week 5 was at RB and TE and very little value was there at the WR position. The average scoring running back and tight end outscored even the highest scoring wide receiver on the Top 20 rosters. Looking forward to Week 6, it looks like we may see the phenomenon repeat itself. There is a whole lot of value at RB. Matt Forte, Arian Foster, Demarco Murray, Dion Lewis, Chris Ivory and Charcandrick West are amongst the running backs that look to be priced favorably. Meanwhile, the top wide receivers (with the possible exception of DeAndre Hopkins) all appear to be overpriced.

2. For the third straight week, it was obvious that you had to nail your TE selection to finish near the top of the standings. Every single top finisher had either Gary Barnridge or Antonio Gates. I'm at a bit of a loss as to how to approach the position however. If you feel like there is a lot of luck involved (as Barnridge's touchdown catch with his knees perhaps indicates), maybe the solution is simply to fire up multiple entries into the Millionaire Maker with different tight ends in each. Or perhaps the top plays should have been obvious in hindsight and it is worth spending extra time each week at the all important tight end position. (Maybe I'm just venting a bit here as someone who owned way too many shares of Martellus Bennett and Charles Clay in Week 5?)

3. It was the lowest scoring week at Wide Receiver in the entire year and a half that I've been tracking  this tournament. Nobody topped 29 points at the position. With Odell Beckham, Jr. and Julio Jones banged up, Antonio Brown missing Ben Roethlisberger, and Demaryius Thomas/Calvin Johnson both dealing with major issues at quarterback, perhaps it is time to stop paying up for high-priced WR1s until somebody re-emerges as a stronger every week option. Or perhaps DeAndre Hopkins is quietly emerging as the WR1 to own over the next few weeks? Is any wide receiver more of a lock for double-digit targets than Hopkins right now?

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