Saturday, September 12, 2015

On Second Thought: Alfred Blue

Alfred Blue stinks. Want proof? Pick a stat.
  • He ran for just 3.1 yards per attempt last season, while no other Houston running back checked in under 3.9. 
  • He was stuffed at or behind the line of scrimmage on 13% of his attempts - the fourth highest rate in the league (minimum 140 attempts). 
  • He broke a run of 15 yards or more on 1.79% of his runs - the fifth lowest rate in the league (min 140 attempts).
When I began creating lineups this week, I didn't give Blue a look despite his $3,600 price tag. But the more I think about it, he warrants consideration in both cash games and GPPs. 
  • The Texans are playing at home - always a plus for a running back.
  • They opened as a small favorite over Kansas City, though the spread is now Pick 'Em on most sites. Vegas is leaning towards a close Houston win, which suggests the game script will at least remain neutral for Blue.
  • Houston ran the ball a lot last year - a league leading 34.5 times per game to be exact. If they're able to stick to their game plan (and the spread suggests they will), Blue will see plenty of opportunity. 
  • Kansas City will be without stud run-blocking DT Dontari Poe on Sunday.
  • There has been no indication any other running back on the Texans poses a significant threat to Blue's workload.
  • With Ameer Abdullah ($4,000) and Chris Ivory ($4,100) priced right in his ballpark, Blue is going to be low-owned in tournaments. 75 rushing yards, a touchdown, and a reception gets him to 4x value. Those are attainable projections, even if Blue runs as inefficiently as he did last year.
Don't get me wrong here - Blue isn't anything close to a must-start this week. But if you're making multiple lineups and you're over-exposed to guys like Abdullah, Ivory, and Doug Martin, pivoting to Blue in a few spots makes sense.

9 comments:

  1. For the reason that the admin of this website is working, no doubt very shortly it will be well-known, due to its quality contents. 메이저사이트

    ReplyDelete
  2. Greetings to each one, it’s really a particular for me to visit this website page, it comprises of helpful Information. 경마

    ReplyDelete
  3. I every time spent my half an hour to read this weblog’s content every day along with a mug of coffee. 토토사이트

    ReplyDelete
  4. Ive got to say, the layout alone made me come back to this web page again. But now that Ive read what youve got to say, Ive got to share it with the world! 토토사이트

    ReplyDelete
  5. What’s up to all, it’s genuinely a fastidious for me to visit this website, it consists of priceless Information. 한국야동

    Also feel free to visit may web page check this link 야설

    ReplyDelete

  6. Your article is so convincing that I never stop myself from appreciating this. Thank you for posting this Feel free to visit my website; 일본야동

    ReplyDelete
  7. Feels lovely'. Is excellence an item to look and quantify, is magnificence an inclination to detect or is excellence a plan to attempt? With each conceivable response to existing inquiries we get more inquiries all things considered. Feel free to visit my website; 국산야동

    ReplyDelete
  8. Everything is very open with a clear description of the issues. It was definitely informative. Your website is useful. Many thanks for sharing. Feel free to visit my website; 일본야동

    ReplyDelete
  9. You made some respectable factors there. I seemed on the web for the issue and found most people will go along with together with your website. Feel free to visit my website; 일본야동

    ReplyDelete